The Social Democrats’ demographic decline after the European elections continues: In the RTL/ntv trend barometer from Forsa, the SPD lost one percentage point and is now behind the AfD with 15 percent. The AfD remained at 16 percent in the survey published on Tuesday. The strongest political force in Germany is still the Union, with 30 percent, the same as last week.
The other two traffic light parties also lost one percentage point each in the survey: The Greens came in at twelve percent, the FDP at five percent. The Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) coalition, on the other hand, improved by one percentage point to seven percent. All other parties together, including the Free Voters (three percent) and the Left, came in at 15 percent.
In surveys conducted by other institutes over the past two weeks, the CDU/CSU are between 29 and 31 percent, the AfD between 16 and 18 percent, the SPD between 14 and 16 percent, the Greens between 11 and 14 percent, the BSW between 6 and 9 percent, the FDP between 4 and 5 percent, and the other parties together, including the Free Voters and the Left, between 13 and 14 percent.
According to the Forsa survey, if they could vote directly for the Chancellor, 28 percent (minus two percentage points) of eligible voters would currently choose incumbent Olaf Scholz (SPD) and 30 percent (plus two percentage points) for CDU leader Friedrich Merz, who would thus overtake Scholz for the first time. An unchanged 42 percent would vote for neither Scholz nor Merz.
Forsa also asked whether the CDU and SPD should form coalitions with the BSW after the state elections in Thuringia, Saxony and Brandenburg in September. Nationwide, 44 percent are in favor of these coalitions, 42 percent are against. 14 percent have no opinion on the matter. The decision is clearer in eastern Germany: 62 percent are in favor of coalitions, 27 percent are against.
The data on party and chancellor preferences were collected by Forsa from June 11 to 17. Data basis: 2,504 respondents. Statistical margin of error: /- 2.5 percentage points. The data on coalitions with the BSW were collected on June 14 and 17. Data basis: 1,003 respondents. Statistical margin of error: /- 3 percentage points.
