Head-to-head race between AfD and CDU – traffic light parties threatened with debacle

According to a survey, a neck-and-neck race between the AfD and the CDU is emerging in Saxony’s state elections on September 1. As the “Leipziger Volkszeitung” reported on Wednesday, citing an Insa survey, the AfD is just ahead of the CDU with 32 percent, with a margin of error of up to 2.7 percent.

The BSW therefore received 15 percent (4 percentage points). The traffic light parties are facing a debacle: the SPD and the Greens, each with five percent, have to worry about entering the state parliament, while the FDP only received 2 percent. 1,500 eligible voters were surveyed between June 10 and 17. The survey was also commissioned by the “Sächsische Zeitung” and “Freie Presse”.

According to Insa, a government majority is possible from 44 percent, the newspaper further reported. The current Kenya coalition of the CDU, Greens and SPD could therefore no longer form the government with 40 percent. The CDU has ruled out a coalition with the AfD, but could achieve a majority with the BSW, it said.

Also according to an Insa survey, commissioned by the “Bild” newspaper, the traffic light parties are currently more unpopular than ever. If there were a general election on Sunday, the SPD, FDP and Greens together would only get 31 percent, the newspaper reported on Tuesday. This would put them on a par with the Union, which was able to improve its result in the survey by one percentage point compared to the previous week.

In detail, the Social Democrats lost half a percentage point compared to the previous week and ended up at 15 percent, the Greens lost one point and reached eleven percent, and the FDP remained stable at five percent. “The Union is as strong as the three traffic light parties combined. A traffic light coalition would no longer be possible after new elections,” said Insa head Hermann Blinkert.

The AfD, on the other hand, recorded gains: it gained one percentage point and landed at 17 percent. The Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) coalition also increased slightly by half a percentage point to eight percent.

For the Insa opinion trend, a total of 2,010 citizens were surveyed from June 14 to 17, 2024. According to the information, the maximum statistical error tolerance is 2.5 percentage points.