Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 2 points in the latest Fox News national survey. This marks a reversal from last month when Harris had a slight advantage. Trump is ahead by 6 points among voters in seven key battleground states, while the candidates are tied among voters in counties where the margin between Joe Biden and Trump in 2020 was less than 10 points.
Trump’s lead among likely voters falls within the margin of error, and the results are similar among registered voters. His support has increased among White voters, voters aged 65 and over, and those with a college degree since August. Meanwhile, Harris has seen a decrease in support among Black voters, college graduates, older voters, and Whites with a college degree.
The race between Trump and Harris has remained close, with Trump holding a slight edge in the latest poll. The outcome of the election may depend on which candidate is more effective at getting their supporters to the polls rather than persuading undecided voters.
The economy remains a top priority for voters, with less emphasis on issues like immigration, abortion, election integrity, and healthcare. Trump is seen as better at handling the economy, immigration, crime, and guns, while Harris is trusted more on issues like abortion, climate change, and healthcare.
Voters are more likely to see Trump as a strong leader and someone who can bring about needed change. While Harris is viewed as having the mental soundness to be president, Trump has a higher approval rating for his time in office compared to Biden’s current approval rating.
The race continues to be more about Trump than Harris, with most of his supporters voting for him rather than against Harris. For Harris supporters, the main motivations to vote include a dislike of the other candidate, protecting democracy, and abortion. Trump supporters are motivated by the economy, immigration, and candidate characteristics.
Overall, the election remains tight, with both candidates having strengths and weaknesses among different voter demographics. The outcome may come down to voter turnout and each candidate’s ability to mobilize their base.
The Fox News survey was conducted from October 11-14, 2024, with a sample of 1,110 registered voters. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points, and weights were applied to ensure demographic representation. Likely voters were determined based on various factors, including past vote history and interest in the current election.
For more updates on the 2024 campaign trail and exclusive interviews, visit the Fox News Digital election hub.
