Liverpool is leading the 2024-25 Premier League, while Manchester United is struggling according to the xG table.
The Expected Goals (xG) metric analyzes the quality of chances created and conceded by each team, providing insight into their actual performances regardless of the scorelines.
Under Arne Slot’s management, Liverpool has scored the most expected goals and conceded the least in the league. On the other hand, Manchester United’s poor performance in both attack and defense is evident in their position on the xG table.
Surprisingly, Fulham is in second place in the xG table, having six points less than they deserve based on their expected goals.
Chelsea, Manchester City, and Tottenham are performing well, but there are concerns about Arsenal’s defensive numbers under Mikel Arteta. Newcastle’s average xG tally reflects their middling start to the season.
At the bottom of the table, the struggles of the newly promoted clubs are expected, while Wolves should have five more points than they currently do based on xG statistics.
According to data from Understat, here are the Expected Goals (xG), Expected Goals Against (xGA), and Expected Points tables for the season so far:
Expected Goals (xG)
1. Liverpool – 20.13
2. Tottenham – 19.30
3. Arsenal – 19.00
4. Manchester City – 18.92
5. Chelsea – 18.29
6. Fulham – 17.99
7. Brentford – 17.14
8. Aston Villa – 16.77
9. Bournemouth – 16.31
10. West Ham – 15.85
11. Manchester United – 15.65
12. Brighton – 15.45
13. Nottingham Forest – 14.19
14. Newcastle – 13.31
15. Southampton – 12.84
16. Crystal Palace – 11.09
17. Everton – 10.58
18. Leicester – 10.57
19. Ipswich – 9.76
20. Wolves – 9.24
Expected Goals Against (xGA)
1. Liverpool – 8.15
2. Tottenham – 9.69
3. Fulham – 9.69
4. Manchester City – 10.06
5. Nottingham Forest – 11.18
6. Aston Villa – 11.62
7. Arsenal – 12.41
8. Chelsea – 13.19
9. Bournemouth – 13.39
10. Brighton – 14.00
11. Brentford – 15.96
12. Crystal Palace – 15.98
13. Newcastle – 16.06
14. Everton – 17.44
15. Manchester United – 17.52
16. Wolves – 18.04
17. West Ham – 18.14
18. Southampton – 22.53
19. Leicester – 23.22
20. Ipswich – 24.09
Expected Points (xPTS)
1. Liverpool – 20.01
2. Fulham – 18.08
3. Manchester City – 17.52
4. Tottenham – 16.44
5. Aston Villa – 15.71
6. Bournemouth – 15.00
7. Chelsea – 14.95
8. Arsenal – 14.60
9. Brighton – 14.38
10. Nottingham Forest – 13.75
11. Manchester United – 12.95
12. Brentford – 12.57
13. West Ham – 11.02
14. Newcastle – 10.98
15. Crystal Palace – 9.23
16. Everton – 7.92
17. Southampton – 7.72
18. Wolves – 7.14
19. Leicester – 6.20
20. Ipswich – 5.37
These statistics provide valuable insights into the performance of each team in the Premier League this season, highlighting areas of strength and weakness that may impact their standings in the league.
