With the upcoming Election Day just two weeks away, a recent Fox News poll revealed interesting insights into the confidence levels and acceptance of election results among supporters of Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. The survey found that a majority of Harris supporters are confident that votes will be counted accurately nationwide and are willing to accept the outcome, regardless of who wins. On the contrary, Trump supporters seem to have lower levels of confidence in the accuracy of the vote count and are less likely to accept the results if their candidate loses.
According to the poll, 83% of Harris supporters are extremely or very confident that votes will be counted accurately, while only 35% of Trump supporters share the same level of confidence. Overall, 58% of voters are extremely or very confident in the accuracy of the vote count. Additionally, 63% of Harris supporters stated that they would accept the election results if she loses, compared to only 42% of Trump supporters who said the same.
The survey also revealed that 6 in 10 voters believe that President Joe Biden was legitimately elected in 2020. However, there is a significant partisan divide on this issue, with the majority of Harris supporters agreeing that Biden won legitimately, while only a quarter of Trump supporters share the same belief.
When it comes to voting preferences, over half of voters (52%) plan to vote early by mail or absentee, while just under half (47%) plan to vote on Election Day. Those who are voting early seem to lean towards Harris by 8 points, while those planning to vote on Election Day favor Trump by 12 points. This trend is similar to the support levels seen in the 2020 election.
Overall, the latest Fox News poll shows that Trump has a slight 2-point lead over Harris nationally, although this falls within the margin of error. The poll was conducted from October 11-14, 2024, under the direction of Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research, with a sample of 1,110 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file.
It is important to note that the margin of sampling error for the survey results is ±3 percentage points, and weights were applied to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters were determined based on a probabilistic statistical model that takes into account past vote history, interest in the current election, age, education, race, ethnicity, church attendance, and marital status.
In conclusion, the Fox News poll highlights the differing levels of confidence and acceptance of election results among supporters of Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As Election Day approaches, these insights provide a glimpse into the sentiments of voters and the dynamics at play in the upcoming election.