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Russia has multiple military bases near the Baltic states and Poland, with recent satellite images showing rapid infrastructure development at several of them. The bases near the Baltic states and Finland are set to be expanded significantly in ongoing military reforms. This year, Russia spent a substantial amount on war, promising to increase military ranks and create a new army near the Estonian border. The aggressor state’s military capability behind Estonia’s borders is analyzed through satellite imagery, revealing empty bases and reduced combat capabilities. Ukrainian drone attacks have targeted Russian military bases, impacting training and equipment.

The decline in quality of the Russian military division at the Pskov base has raised concerns, with reports of outdated tanks being used in battle. Despite the trillions of rubles spent on the war machine, Russia has not shown major development or construction activity at the bases near the Estonian and Latvia borders. However, satellite images reveal signs of active use at some bases, indicating new or restored equipment being deployed.

Kaliningrad, an exclave of Russia, is highlighted as a significant military base with various facilities and units, including missile arsenals and naval bases. The development of Russia’s nuclear capability in Kaliningrad raises concerns for NATO, as it poses a threat to neighboring countries. The potential scenarios of a Russian attack on the Baltic states are analyzed, with experts emphasizing the need for strong defense measures and preparedness.

Former military commanders and defense analysts discuss the challenges and potential responses to a Russian aggression, emphasizing the importance of air superiority and strategic defense systems. The readiness of NATO allies and political decisions in the event of an attack are crucial factors in deterring the aggressor. Despite the evolving military landscape and potential threats, experts believe that the West knows how to repel the aggressor if necessary, provided that political leaders and societies are prepared and united in defense efforts.